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India’s travel moves up a gear

SINGAPORE, 9 May 2023: India’s strong growth potential, as domestic travel overtakes the pre-pandemic levels, and international is not far behind, according to the latest Sabre data.

Following major aviation developments in the country announced recently, Sabre sifted through data to examine the potential of India’s travel growth over the coming years.

Key findings 

• Significant investments in the tourism industry are expected to increase and support airline capacity requirements for domestic and international travel.

• As of March 2023, bookings are back to 100% of pre-pandemic levels for domestic trips and nearly 100% of pre-pandemic levels for international trips, with domestic travel increasing in popularity and domestic capacity having already exceeded pre-pandemic levels.

• Indian carriers are expected to play a significant role in international travel.

• Passenger numbers are increasing despite significantly higher international fares.  

• The growing middle-class segment in India is expected to gain access to travel as travel becomes more affordable; the middle-class segment is expected to double from one in three to two in three Indians by 2047.

Significant investments in the Indian tourism industry are expected to increase and support capacity requirements for domestic and international travel.

As of March 2023, bookings are back to 100% of pre-pandemic levels for domestic trips and are at nearly 100% of pre-pandemic levels for international trips, with domestic capacity having already exceeded pre-pandemic levels.

Sabre’s booking data shows that in January 2023, there were 11 million domestic trips versus 11.2 million in January 2019, showing a travel recovery of 98.8%. In February, domestic travel measured at 99.3% and eventually exceeded pre-pandemic levels in March at 107.4%. Domestic capacity has already exceeded 2019 levels since the beginning of this year, signifying that there is potential for domestic travel to grow significantly.

The strong growth for domestic travel and capacity could be attributed to more Indians turning towards domestic travel during the pandemic when they couldn’t travel further afield and ongoing improvements in connectivity due to government investments.

In addition, India has recently seen a rise in low-cost carriers (LCCs), with these carriers recording growth in domestic travel. In Q1 of 2019, 23.2 million travellers flew on LCCs for domestic routes. The number increased to 26.5 million within the same period in 2023, an increase of 14%.

There were 5.7 million trips for international travel in January 2023 versus 6 million in January 2019, showing a recovery rate of 95%. The recovery rate increased to 97.5% in February 2023 and is now at 99.5% in March 2023. Capacity for international trips has also been planned to exceed 100% of 2019 levels by Q2.

International fares increased post-pandemic

An impressive travel resumption has been achieved even though average international fares are 41.3% more expensive as of February 2023 than pre-pandemic prices. This exemplifies the “revenge travel” phenomenon resulting from the long lockdowns, plus the fact that capacity could not catch up with the pent-up demand.

Domestic fares have also increased, 24.5% more than pre-pandemic prices as of February 2023. Fare prices are expected to stabilise as capacity grows to meet and potentially exceed demand, coupled with various tourism investments to make travel affordable for the growing middle-class segment in India.

Queen Anne floats out

SINGAPORE, 9 May 2023: The world’s most iconic luxury cruise brand celebrated a momentous construction milestone last week with the float out of Queen Anne at the Fincantieri Marghera shipyard in Venice, Italy.

The 249th ship to sail under the Cunard flag, Queen Anne officially touched water for the first time exactly 365 days before setting sail on her maiden voyage to Lisbon on 3 May 2024.

Photo credit: Cunard

Carnival UK president, Sture Myrmell, said: “We are delighted to celebrate this important milestone in the construction of Queen Anne. The float-out ceremony marks the ship’s transition from her building dock to where she truly belongs – in the water. Today marks a significant moment for Queen Anne as we recognise the dedication of the master shipbuilders at Fincantieri to build a ship that reinforces our position as a world-famous luxury brand.”

The float out completes the first comprehensive construction phase for Queen Anne, which now transitions to focus on building the luxury ship’s interiors.

Queen Anne

The 14-deck 3,000-guest Queen Anne will enter service in May 2024. It will make up the quartet for Cunard alongside Queen Mary 2, Queen Victoria, and Queen Elizabeth. It will be the first time since 1999 that Cunard will have four ships in simultaneous service.

(Source: Cunard)

Air travel growth continues in March

SINGAPORE, 9 May 2023: Global passenger traffic in March stood at 88% of the March 2019 level, signalling a strong demand growth in air travel, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) reports in its latest analysis.

Total traffic in March 2023 (measured in revenue passenger kilometres or RPKs) rose 52.4% compared to March 2022. Globally, traffic is now at 88.0% of the March 2019 level.

Domestic traffic for March rose 34.1% compared to the year-ago period. Total March 2023 domestic traffic was 98.9% of the March 2019 level.

International traffic climbed 68.9% versus March 2022, with all markets recording healthy growth, led once again by carriers in the Asia-Pacific region. International RPKs reached 81.6% of March 2019 levels, while the load factor at 81.3% exceeded the March 2019 level by 10.1 percentage points.

“The calendar year’s first quarter ended strongly for air travel demand. Domestic markets have been near their pre-pandemic levels for months. And for international travel, two key waypoints were topped. First, demand increased by 3.5 percentage points compared to the previous month’s growth, reaching 81.6% of pre-COVID levels. This was led by a near-tripling of demand for Asia-Pacific carriers as China’s re-opening took hold. And efficiency is improving as international load factors reached 81.3%. Even more importantly, ticket sales for domestic and international travel indicate that strong growth will continue into the peak Northern Hemisphere summer travel season,” said IATA’s director general Willie Walsh.

International Passenger Markets

Asia-Pacific airlines had a 283.1% increase in March 2023 traffic compared to March 2022, continuing the robust momentum since the lifting of travel restrictions in the region. Capacity rose 161.5%, and the load factor increased 26.8 percentage points to 84.5%, the second highest among the regions.

European carriers posted a 38.5% traffic rise versus March 2022. Capacity climbed 27.0%, and the load factor rose 6.6 percentage points to 79.4%, the second lowest among the regions.

Middle Eastern airlines saw a 43.1% traffic increase compared to March a year ago. Capacity climbed 30.5%, and the load factor pushed up 7.0 percentage points to 79.4%.

North American carriers’ traffic climbed 51.6% in March 2023 versus 2022. Capacity increased by 34.0%, and the load factor rose 9.8 percentage points to 84.8%, the region’s highest.

Latin American airlines had a 36.5% traffic increase compared to the same month in 2022. March capacity climbed 33.4%, and the load factor rose 1.9 percentage points to 82.8%.

African airlines’ traffic rose 71.7% in March 2023 versus a year ago, the second highest among the regions. March capacity was up 56.2%, and the load factor climbed 6.5 percentage points to 72.2%, the region’s lowest.

The Bottom Line

“As traveller expectations build towards the peak Northern Hemisphere summer travel season, airlines are doing their best to meet the desire and need to fly. Unfortunately, a lack of capacity means some travellers may be disappointed. Part of this capacity shortfall is attributable to the widely reported labour shortages impacting many parts of the aviation value chain and supply chain issues affecting the aircraft manufacturing sector resulting in aircraft delivery delays. However, a significant share of recent flight cancellations, primarily in Europe, are owing to job actions by air traffic controllers and others. These irresponsible actions resulted in thousands of unnecessary cancellations in March. This is unacceptable and should not be tolerated by the authorities,” said Walsh.

(Source: IATA)

View the March Air Passenger Market Analysis (pdf)

Chiang Rai welcomes back Chinese airline

CHIANG RAI, 9 May 2023: Ruili Airlines will be the first international airline to resume direct flights to Chiang Rai, a far north town on Thailand’s borders with Myanmar and Laos.

According to the public relations department of the Chiang Rai Mae Fa Luang International Airport, the Chinese airline will fly a direct service from its home base Kunming in Yunnan province, China, to Chiang Rai starting this month without identifying a start date.

Chiang Rai Airport confirmed the return of a direct flight from China on its social media post earlier this month.
 

However, www.aeroroutes.com  confirms Ruili Airlines has scheduled three weekly flights starting 13 May using a Boeing 737-700, which differed from the airport’s graphic that suggests a twice-weekly service on Saturday and Sunday.

The airports graphic shows the Ruili Airlines direct flight as the only international flight scheduled for Chiang Rai during the summer timetable. The other five airlines fly domestic services between Chiang Rai and two airports in Bangkok – Suvarnabhumi and Don Mueang.

Before the Covid-19 pandemic, Chinese airlines offered charter and scheduled flights from Hong Kong, Macau, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Jinghong, Changsha, Chengdu and Guangzhou.

Ruili Airlines’ flight DR5035 will depart Kunming at 1900 and arrive in Chiang Rai at 2025. The return flight DR5036 will depart Chiang Rai at 2115 and arrive in Kunming at 2250.

The airline provides no information on the new Chiang Rai flight on its website or social media accounts. Even the popular booking site Trip.com doesn’t flag a direct flight option on the Kunming – Chiang Rai route. There is just one option from Chiang Rai to Kunming on Thai AirAsia The flight between the two cities involves a change of plane in the Thai capital and a two-hour wait at Don Mueang airport. The roundabout journey takes five hours and 50 minutes and costs USD475 one way.

Meanwhile, according to Aeroroutes’ flight schedules, Ruili Airlines (DR) introduced on 6 May three weekly flights routed Kunming – Jinghong – Chiang Mai using a Boeing 737-700

It will introduce three weekly flights on the Kunming – Phuket route starting on 3 June. It reopens a direct link that will encourage  Chinese residents in Kunming to book beach holiday packages to the southern Thailand holiday island. Also, Kunming’s outbound travel agents will start promoting beach holiday packages in Cambodia’s Sihanoukville province in June. Ruili Airlines will serve Sihanoukville Airport with a weekly direct flight.

High costs dent KAL’s operating profit

SINGAPORE, 8 May 2023: Korean Air achieved a revenue of KRW3.1959 trillion (USD2.4512 billion) in its first fiscal quarter, a 14% year-on-year increase following the steady recovery of travel demand and continued profitability of its cargo operations.

However, the rise in fuel prices and increased operating costs due to expanded aircraft operations has led the airline to record an operating profit of KRW415 billion (USD318.3 million), a 47% decrease year-on-year.

KAL showcases a special livery on its Boeing 777-300 aircraft in support of Korea’s successful bid to host the World Expo 2030 in Busan.

The airline’s Q1 passenger business revenue rose 394% year-on-year to KRW1.7777 trillion. Backed by strong travel demand fueling the steady recovery in capacity and passengers, the airline’s passenger business revenue has almost recovered to pre-Covid levels of Q1 2019.

Korean Air expects global passenger demand to rapidly recover in Q2, especially with the relaxation of travel restrictions worldwide. The airline will continue normalising its passenger business by increasing capacity and responding flexibly to demand.

Meanwhile, Korean Air hosted an event last week at the airline’s hangar at Incheon International Airport to showcase a special livery supporting Korea’s successful bid to host the World Expo 2030 in Busan.

“Hosting the Expo in Busan will be a great opportunity further to advocate our nation’s presence on the global stage, and Korean Air is proud to play its role in the bid for the World Expo 2030 Busan,” said, Chairman and CEO of Korean Air chair and CEO Walter Cho in his welcome address. “As a leader in global aviation, Korean Air will take advantage of its extensive network to support the bid.”

To support the bid, the airline unveiled a special Boeing 777-300ER livery featuring BLACKPINK, a world-renowned K-pop group. Recognised globally, BLACKPINK is on a world tour to meet its 1.5 million global fans. In March, Korean Air signed a partnership agreement with YG Entertainment and became the official airline sponsor of BLACKPINK’s world tour.

The aircraft displaying the special livery flew from Seoul Incheon to  Paris and will make stops in multiple destinations served by the 777-300ER fleet on the airline’s global network.

Asia Pacific hotels rebuild profitability

LONDON, 8 May 2023: Supporting regional recovery, most of Asia Pacific’s key hotel markets surpassed their 2019 gross operating profit per available room (GOPPAR), according to STR‘s March 2023 P&L data release.

Bali’s March GOPPAR reached US$52.92, 227.6% of the pre-pandemic comparable. In February, the market reported GOPPAR at USD41.90, 121% of 2019.

New Delhi followed with a GOPPAR of USD82.40, 164.4% of the 2019 comparable. The GOPPAR level was slightly lower than in February (USD101.71). While improved over February, Hong Kong’s GOPPAR was just 76.1% of the 2019 comparable.

Key profitability metrics

TRevPAR – Total revenue per available room.
GOPPAR – Gross operating profit per available room.
EBITDA – Earnings before interest, income tax, depreciation, and amortisation.
LPAR – Total labour costs per available room.

(Source: STR)

Jetstar Asia shifts terminals at Jakarta

SINGAPORE, 8 May 2023: Jetstar Asia will move its international operations from Terminal 3 to Terminal 2F (T2F) at Jakarta Soekarno-Hatta International Airport on Tuesday, 16 May.

Jetstar Asia (3K) currently operates 14 return flights each week from Singapore to Jakarta, carrying over 250,000 passengers between the two cities annually.

The first Jetstar flight to arrive at Jakarta Airport’s Terminal 2F will be 3K201 at 0900 on 16 May, with 3K202, the first flight to depart the terminal at 0940.

Jakarta Airport Terminal 2 is located in the west-north part of the airport. It has a capacity for over 19 million passengers annually, with a convenient and free shuttle bus and Sky Train services to transfer passengers between terminals.

Jetstar Asia’s Head of Ground Operations, Peter Choo, said Jetstar Asia started flying to Jakarta in 2005, and it remained one of the low-cost carrier’s most popular ports.

“Jakarta’s popularity goes from strength to strength as Singaporeans continue to travel to Indonesia’s capital for business, for family and for tourism,” Choo said.

“This move will enable us to ramp up our operations and increase capacity between these two important destinations in response to increasing demand while we continue to offer our incredibly low fares ensuring more people can travel to this incredible city more often.”

All Jetstar Asia passengers booked to travel to/from Jakarta from 16 May have been contacted directly to inform them of the terminal change.

Tourism enterprises face a tough recovery path

LUANG PRABANG, 5 May 2023: Luang Prabang’s forest resorts are fighting an annual battle to keep bushfires at bay in the foothill of this popular UNESCO World Heritage town nestled next to the Mekong River.

But they admit it’s a losing battle as arsonists torch forests around the UNESCO World Heritage town to clear land for commercial plantations. They need a helping hand from regional and national travel associations to lobby for their members.

Since February, the Luang Prabang valley has been cloaked in smog, with air quality index figures creeping into the hazardous red zone for more than two months. It fuels an exodus of disappointed tourists, slashes bookings for accommodation and may have factored in Lao Airlines’ decision to suspend its direct Luang Prabang – Bangkok flights until the start of the cool season in early November.  

Last week two resorts lost bungalows to bushfires blamed on arsonists bent on clearing forests to plant crops or to hunt what little wildlife is left in the forested hills around Luang Prabang.

The loss of six bungalows at two resorts, Lao Spirit Resort (one unit) and Zen Namkhan Resort (five) and close calls at other resorts in Luang Prabang should be a wake-up call for authorities, especially as owners of the near-nature resorts reassess the wisdom of their tourism investment in forest locations.

Lao Spirit Resort’s general manager Wieslaw Bylo keeps the ‘open’ sign posted on his website and online travel agency booking sites such as Booking.com and Agoda. He’s left with five bungalows. He runs the property on behalf of a group of German investors.

“It is not easy for me to lose my newest and best bungalow directly after the Covid-19 pandemic crisis,” he commented. “Every year, we find it more difficult to protect our resort from fire; the burning  season was extremely long and intense this year.”

Bylo plans to rebuild the bungalow “ step by step while keeping the resort open.

According to its management, Zen Namkhan Resort lost five bungalows out of 10, an almost fatal blow for the business. The resort remained closed throughout the Covid-19 pandemic but was due to open in late April, just days before the bushfires engulfed the property. It’s left the management wondering if they have the energy to carry on and, more to the point, how to fund a rebuild.

Their sentiments are shared by other investors, including a German investor who leased 30 hectares in a forested valley close to Luang Prabang, where he developed a privately owned nature reserve highlighting a revered cave.

Arsonists encroached on the property burning the forest and grassland in repeated attacks that transformed a once beautiful natural valley attraction into a barren naked landscape that will take years to recuperate. Over 16 hectares of the property was torched.  

After almost three years without guests due to the Covid lockdown, resorts in Luang Prabang face the fallout of a burning season out of control.

A reliable source linked to the two resorts and the nature reserve describes the double whammy of Covid and smog as devastating for the Luang Prabang Valley’s small and medium tourism enterprises. Many relied on partnerships with expatriate investors who partly funded resorts and tourism ventures. Covid-19 and this year’s burning season exhausted their resources. They urgently need a financial lifeline as they are without hope of securing micro or bridge loans to see them through the low season from May to October.

“There’s nowhere to go to seek assistance,” the source explained. “Attempting to secure microloans fails for ventures with foreign investors due to local laws.”

“Local banks demand interest rates of 13 to 14% on loans, and if foreigners are involved as shareholders, even that is impossible,” he explained. “We need microloans with interest rates of around  3 to 4%, not 14%. Who will invest in tourism in Luang Prabang under these conditions?”

SMEs in tourism have been cut adrift. There’s no voice lobbying for them or supporting them to rebuild business following the Covid-19 pandemic. They need tax incentives from governments and advice on how to obtain bridge loans to allow them to speed up recovery.

There are calls for tourism associations, both local and regional, to rethink their role and step up to the plate to adopt a clearer advocacy stance on behalf of their members to reach out to governments on behalf of their members.

Travel associations tend to adopt marketing objectives promoting events and presenting programmes that build awareness, but they often fall short when lobbying governments to level the playing for tourism stakeholders. They should stand in the SMEs’ corner and call on governments to end the smog season in the Mekong Region. But they should do much more.

Travel associations can broker deals on behalf of their SME members to obtain loans to see them through challenging times. In the case of the smog season and the threat bushfires pose for forest resorts, associations could broker insurance deals exclusively for their members and advise them on how to improve their fire prevention procedures. Practical hints and tips on installing fire fighting equipment on resort properties would give properties a fighting chance to ward off bushfires.

Instead, tourism enterprises are left to struggle through the annual smog season that blights business growth in the Mekong region without any meaningful assistance from regional and national travel trade associations.

When asked what the benefits regional and national associations bring to the table for most tourism SMEs, associations tell potential members they will benefit from marketing and promotion and enjoy attending events. SMEs in the Mekong Region deserve much more. They ask for a lifeline to recover from three years of Covid-19 lockdowns and environmental threats threatening their tourism recovery.

Vistara and Air India ink interline pact

GURUGRAM, India, 4 May 2023: Vistara has announced a bilateral interline partnership with Air India that offers customers a seamless, end-to-end experience across the combined network of both airlines.

This partnership allows customers to book mixed itineraries on a single ticket across both airlines. They also receive their boarding passes for all the sectors booked on a single ticket at the start of their journeys and travel hassle-free as their luggage gets checked in through to their final destinations.

Vistara chief executive officer Vinod Kannan said: “This partnership brings together two leading airlines in India to offer greater convenience and enhanced connectivity to customers travelling across our joint network. This reflects our deep-rooted commitment to offering our customers the finest and the most convenient way to fly worldwide. We are delighted to strengthen our relationship with Air India further and connect our customers to new destinations in their wide network.”

Vistara already has interline cooperation with Air India for irregular operations (IROPs), enabling both airlines to offer alternative first available options to their customers on each other’s flights to minimise inconvenience in case of any operational disruptions. Additionally, Vistara has interline through check-in agreements with 43 other airlines, including Codeshare with Air Canada, British Airways, Japan Airlines, Lufthansa, Singapore Airlines, Swiss and United Airlines.

Last November, Singapore Airlines and Tata Group announced a merger between Air India and Vistara, with Singapore Airlines holding 25.1% of the merged entity. The merger should be completed by March 2024. Tata Group has indicated it will phase out the brand Vistara following the merger.

About Vistara

TATA SIA Airlines Limited, known by the brand name Vistara, is a 51:49 joint venture between Tata Sons Private Limited and Singapore Airlines Limited (SIA). Vistara commenced its commercial operations on 9 January 2015 with a fleet of 60 aircraft, including 46 Airbus A320neo, 8 Airbus A321, 2 Boeing 737-800NG and 4 Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner.

Emirates opens new City Check-In

DUBAI, UAE, 4 May 2023: In the heart of Dubai’s bustling financial district, Emirates has opened a new City Check‑in and Travel Store, enabling customers to conveniently book travel, check-in for flights, drop luggage, shop for travel essentials, and save time at the airport.

Located in the elite ICD Brookfield Place in Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), the state-of-the-art facility opened last week just days before the Arabian Travel Market welcomed international travel suppliers to Dubai from 1 to 4 May.

As part of Emirates’ continuous investment into enhancing customer experience, the City Check-in and Travel Store has a prime and premium location for busy professionals in Dubai’s finance hub and allows customers to drop their luggage as early as 24 hours and up to 4 hours before a flight, arriving at the airport at leisure. Customers can visit the space and check in anytime from 0800 to 2200 daily, beginning their travel experience with seamless service via self-check-in kiosks, at dedicated desks with Emirates agents, or with the help of the world’s first-ever check‑in robot assistant – Sara.

Sara is an innovative portable robotic check-in system that can match faces with scanned passports, check passengers in, and guide them to the luggage drop area. With an eye-catching 2.5 metre LCD screen showing the latest destination content from Emirates and more screens showing an interactive touchscreen map, the City Check-in and Travel Store is a stylish and spacious contemporary space which offers the opportunity to book tickets, browse travel merchandise, drop luggage, and check in – with paid valet parking and self-parking ensuring an elevated, hassle-free check-in experience for Emirates passengers. Visitors can also get expert advice and offers on trending destinations. At the same time, dedicated travel consultants can assist with purchasing tickets for future journeys, managing current bookings, purchasing upgrades, selecting preferred seats, and arranging extra baggage if required.

Emirates passengers with valid boarding passes who wish to discover the area or spend time relaxing before their flight will have complimentary access to select lifestyle facilities in the world-renowned ICD Brookfield Place and exclusive discounts and special offers across a range of restaurants, gyms, and luxury stores – including Josette, 1Rebel, Lulu and the Beanstalk, and Embody Fitness. Around the DIFC, visitors can enjoy a diverse range of services, shopping, world-class cuisine, and art galleries, including the extensive promenade at DIFC’s Gate Avenue. When it’s time to fly, passengers can connect directly to the airport via taxi or Emirates chauffeur service or take a 10-minute walk to Financial Centre Metro Station, connecting seamlessly to the Airport Terminal 3 Metro Station.

For more information visit: www.emirates.com.

(Source: Emirates)